Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.377119 0.417078 0.459978 0.509545 0.565336 0.626307 0.698136
2025-04-27 0.315137 0.370926 0.435245 0.515245 0.612572 0.727763 0.875337
2025-05-04 0.279474 0.342781 0.419321 0.519395 0.647843 0.808593 1.027230
2025-05-11 0.252553 0.320110 0.404961 0.520494 0.675455 0.878606 1.169223
2025-05-18 0.233458 0.304377 0.396430 0.526279 0.707321 0.954683 1.325019
2025-05-25 0.211750 0.282679 0.377327 0.514901 0.713180 0.993941 1.431324
2025-06-01 0.199659 0.272593 0.372520 0.522017 0.744514 1.070757 1.599336
2025-06-08 0.185865 0.258802 0.361075 0.518039 0.758431 1.122145 1.732794
2025-06-15 0.176135 0.249893 0.355638 0.521961 0.783855 1.192416 1.902841
2025-06-22 0.164340 0.237017 0.343261 0.514033 0.789646 1.231557 2.024696
2025-06-29 0.154502 0.226310 0.333238 0.508700 0.798653 1.276010 2.159557
2025-07-06 0.141979 0.210688 0.314600 0.488114 0.780660 1.273283 2.209559
2025-07-13 0.136221 0.205281 0.311667 0.493053 0.806327 1.348432 2.412502
2025-07-20 0.130968 0.200330 0.309108 0.498381 0.833093 1.428101 2.634090
2025-07-27 0.125898 0.195303 0.306004 0.502385 0.857604 1.505640 2.860633
2025-08-03 0.120667 0.189663 0.301467 0.503443 0.876668 1.574536 3.077905
2025-08-10 0.116684 0.185817 0.299628 0.509011 0.904345 1.662253 3.345499
2025-08-17 0.110074 0.177174 0.289076 0.498059 0.899723 1.685919 3.477106
2025-08-24 0.106980 0.174321 0.288309 0.504909 0.929899 1.782155 3.782938
2025-08-31 0.102360 0.168568 0.282092 0.501079 0.938567 1.834728 3.995046
2025-09-07 0.099245 0.165261 0.279996 0.504855 0.962722 1.922075 4.301275
2025-09-14 0.094625 0.159044 0.272288 0.497224 0.962728 1.957100 4.484038
2025-09-21 0.090665 0.153809 0.266079 0.492090 0.967488 2.002958 4.700253